Czech-Republic · 1. Liga U19 · Matchweek 2808:30
Zlín U19LLDLW

1 – 0

Saturday, 30 May 2026

· Analysis updated 16:42 UTC

Zlín U19 vs Sigma Olomouc U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.67 expected goals for Zlín U19 and 1.73 for Sigma Olomouc U19, a combined total of 3.40. That distribution gives Sigma Olomouc U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

62.3% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.67 – 1.73

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Zlín U19 home form

    6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Sigma Olomouc U19 away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 7 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Zlín U19 win38%
Draw23%
Sigma Olomouc U19 win40%

Double chance 1X

60%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

62%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals66%
Over 3.5 goals44%
Both teams to score67%

Correct score

  • 1–19.6%
  • 1–28.3%
  • 2–18.1%
  • 2–27.0%
  • 0–15.8%

Recent form

Zlín U19

  • 2026-08-22T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Teplice U19 · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Sparta Praha U19 · 0-6 (L)
  • 2026-08-12T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Sigma Olomouc U19 · 1-5 (L)
  • 2026-08-08T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Baník Ostrava U19 · 3-4 (L)
  • 2026-06-13T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Baník Ostrava U19 · 0-2 (L)

Sigma Olomouc U19

  • 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Dukla Praha U19 · 4-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Karviná U19 · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · A vs České Budějovice U19 · 2-7 (L)
  • 2026-09-01T10:30:00.000Z · H vs Sparta Praha U19 · 5-3 (W)
  • 2026-08-29T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Viktoria Plzeň U19 · 0-3 (L)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-08-12T08:30:00.000Z · Zlín U19 1-5 Sigma Olomouc U19 (1. Liga U19)
  • 2026-05-30T08:30:00.000Z · Zlín U19 1-0 Sigma Olomouc U19 (1. Liga U19)
  • 2025-11-01T10:00:00.000Z · Zlín U19 1-2 Sigma Olomouc U19 (1. Liga U19)
  • 2025-05-10T09:00:00.000Z · Zlín U19 1-3 Sigma Olomouc U19 (1. Liga U19)
  • 2024-10-11T09:00:00.000Z · Zlín U19 2-0 Sigma Olomouc U19 (1. Liga U19)
  • 2024-05-25T09:00:00.000Z · Zlín U19 1-2 Sigma Olomouc U19 (1. Liga U19)
  • 2023-10-26T09:00:00.000Z · Zlín U19 1-0 Sigma Olomouc U19 (1. Liga U19)
  • 2023-05-27T09:00:00.000Z · Zlín U19 1-5 Sigma Olomouc U19 (1. Liga U19)
  • 2022-10-29T09:00:00.000Z · Zlín U19 2-1 Sigma Olomouc U19 (1. Liga U19)
  • 2022-02-19T10:00:00.000Z · Zlín U19 1-1 Sigma Olomouc U19 (1. Liga U19)

1. Liga U19 table

Full league page →

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 62.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.

A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.