Czech-Republic · 1. Liga U19 · Matchweek 308:30
Zlín U19LLDLW

0 – 3

Saturday, 22 August 2026

Teplice U19WWLDL

· Analysis updated 16:42 UTC

Zlín U19 vs Teplice U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.07 expected goals for Zlín U19 and 3.09 for Teplice U19, a combined total of 5.16. That distribution gives Teplice U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 59%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 88% for over 2.5 goals and 83% for both teams to score, with 2–3 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 59% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Teplice U19 win

58.6% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.07 – 3.09

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Zlín U19 home form

    6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Teplice U19 away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Teplice U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 59%, against 25% / 17% / 59% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.07 goals for Zlín U19 and 3.09 for Teplice U19, a combined 5.16 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Zlín U19 win25%
Draw17%
Teplice U19 win59%

Double chance 1X

41%

Double chance 12

83%

Double chance X2

75%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals96%
Over 2.5 goals88%
Over 3.5 goals75%
Both teams to score83%

Correct score

  • 2–36.0%
  • 2–25.9%
  • 1–35.9%
  • 1–25.7%
  • 2–44.7%

Recent form

Zlín U19

  • 2026-08-22T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Teplice U19 · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Sparta Praha U19 · 0-6 (L)
  • 2026-08-12T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Sigma Olomouc U19 · 1-5 (L)
  • 2026-08-08T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Baník Ostrava U19 · 3-4 (L)
  • 2026-06-13T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Baník Ostrava U19 · 0-2 (L)

Teplice U19

  • 2026-09-19T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Opava U19 · 0-5 (L)
  • 2026-09-16T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Slavia Praha U19 · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-12T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Mladá Boleslav U19 · 3-5 (L)
  • 2026-08-29T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Sparta Praha U19 · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-26T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Slovácko U19 · 6-2 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

1. Liga U19 table

Full league page →

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Teplice U19 win, at 58.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–3.

It puts both teams scoring at 83% and over 2.5 goals at 88%.

A 59% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.