Letná Stadion · Analysis updated 14:41 UTC
Zlin vs Prostějov Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Zlin and 1.56 for Prostějov, a combined total of 3.04. That distribution gives Prostějov the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
63.8% probability
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.56
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Zlin home form
0 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Prostějov away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Prostějov to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 36% / 24% / 40% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.48 goals for Zlin and 1.56 for Prostějov, a combined 3.04 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
60%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
64%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.0%
- 1–28.6%
- 2–18.2%
- 0–17.4%
- 1–07.0%
Recent form
Zlin
- 2026-10-02T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Prostějov · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · A vs FK Jablonec · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-16T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Havířov · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Hradec Králové · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-06T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Teplice · 1-3 (L)
Prostějov
- 2026-09-04T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Táborsko · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-29T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Hanácká · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-26T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Tatran Všechovice · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-08-21T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Kladno · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Příbram · 2-2 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 63.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.
A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.