Campo de Fútbol Municipal Zuera · Analysis updated 02:10 UTC
Zuera vs Belchite 97 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.95 expected goals for Zuera and 1.65 for Belchite 97, a combined total of 2.60. That distribution gives Belchite 97 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 48% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Belchite 97 win
53.8% probability
Expected goals
0.95 – 1.65
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Zuera home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Belchite 97 away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Belchite 97 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 54%, against 22% / 25% / 54% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.95 goals for Zuera and 1.65 for Belchite 97, a combined 2.60 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
46%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
78%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–112.3%
- 1–111.6%
- 0–210.1%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–07.4%
Recent form
Zuera
- 2026-05-10T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Épila · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-05-03T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Belchite 97 · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-04-26T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Andorra CF · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-04-19T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Utrillas · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-04-12T15:30:00.000Z · A vs CDJ Tamarite · 1-1 (D)
Belchite 97
- 2026-09-27T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Illueca · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-20T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Almudévar · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-13T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Ejea · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-06T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Brea · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-05-10T15:30:00.000Z · H vs UD Casetas · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-05-03T15:30:00.000Z · Zuera 0-4 Belchite 97 (Tercera División RFEF - Group 17)
- 2026-01-03T15:00:00.000Z · Zuera 1-1 Belchite 97 (Tercera División RFEF - Group 17)
- 2025-03-23T15:30:00.000Z · Zuera 2-2 Belchite 97 (Tercera División RFEF - Group 17)
- 2024-11-17T15:00:00.000Z · Zuera 3-1 Belchite 97 (Tercera División RFEF - Group 17)
Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Zaragoza II | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 19 |
| 2 | Ejea | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | Brea | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 |
| 4 | Cuarte | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | Caspe | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 |
| 6 | La Almunia | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Épila | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 |
| 8 | Fraga | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Binéfar | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11 |
| 10 | Huesca II | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 |
| 11 | Atlético Monzón | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 11 |
| 12 | Illueca | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | Andorra CF | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 9 |
| 14 | CDJ Tamarite | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 | Almudévar | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 16 | CD Sietamo | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 17 | Robres | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 3 |
| 18 | Belchite 97 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -15 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Belchite 97 win, at 53.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.
A 54% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.