Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 · Group 17 - 2515:30

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Sunday, 8 March 2026

Huesca IIDWDLD

Campo de Fútbol Municipal Zuera · Analysis updated 18:05 UTC

Zuera vs Huesca II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.58 expected goals for Zuera and 1.53 for Huesca II, a combined total of 2.10. That distribution gives Huesca II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 61%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 35% for over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 19%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 61% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Huesca II win

60.6% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

0.58 – 1.53

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Zuera home form

    3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Huesca II away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Huesca II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 61%, against 14% / 26% / 61% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.58 goals for Zuera and 1.53 for Huesca II, a combined 2.10 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Zuera win14%
Draw26%
Huesca II win61%

Double chance 1X

40%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

86%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals62%
Over 2.5 goals35%
Over 3.5 goals16%
Both teams to score34%

Correct score

  • 0–118.7%
  • 0–214.2%
  • 0–012.2%
  • 1–110.7%
  • 1–28.2%

Recent form

Zuera

  • 2026-05-10T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Épila · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-05-03T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Belchite 97 · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-04-26T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Andorra CF · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-04-19T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Utrillas · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-04-12T15:30:00.000Z · A vs CDJ Tamarite · 1-1 (D)

Huesca II

  • 2026-10-25T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Binéfar · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-18T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Real Zaragoza II · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Almudévar · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-10-04T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Atlético Monzón · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T10:15:00.000Z · H vs Fraga · 0-0 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Zaragoza II86111319
2Ejea8512516
3Brea8431715
4Cuarte8422714
5Caspe8341413
6La Almunia8413213
7Épila8332312
8Fraga8332212
9Binéfar8323111
10Huesca II8251111
11Atlético Monzón8323-411
12Illueca8314-110
13Andorra CF8233-49
14CDJ Tamarite8305-59
15Almudévar8224-38
16CD Sietamo8143-37
17Robres8035-103
18Belchite 978026-152

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Huesca II win, at 60.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 34% and over 2.5 goals at 35%.

A 61% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.