Zulte Waregem vs Antwerp Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.92 expected goals for Zulte Waregem and 1.10 for Antwerp, a combined total of 3.03. That distribution gives Zulte Waregem the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Zulte Waregem win

56.6% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.92 – 1.10

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Zulte Waregem home form
9 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Antwerp away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Zulte Waregem win57%

Draw22%

Antwerp win21%

Double chance 1X

79%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

44%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals80%

Over 2.5 goals58%

Over 3.5 goals36%

Both teams to score57%

Correct score

1–110.3%
2–19.9%
1–09.3%
2–09.0%
3–16.4%

Recent form

Zulte Waregem

2026-10-02T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Lille · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-19T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Anderlecht · 0-3 (L)
2026-09-13T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Charleroi · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-06T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Kortrijk · 2-0 (W)
2026-08-30T17:15:00.000Z · A vs KVC Westerlo · 2-2 (D)

Antwerp

2026-10-11T16:30:00.000Z · A vs KVC Westerlo · 1-5 (L)
2026-09-20T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Union St. Gilloise · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-13T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Club Brugge KV · 1-3 (L)
2026-09-05T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Standard Liege · 0-1 (L)
2026-08-30T14:00:00.000Z · H vs St. Truiden · 1-4 (L)

Head-to-head

2025-12-27T12:30:00.000Z · Zulte Waregem 1-2 Antwerp (Jupiler Pro League)
2025-09-27T14:00:00.000Z · Zulte Waregem 2-0 Antwerp (Jupiler Pro League)
2023-03-31T18:45:00.000Z · Zulte Waregem 0-2 Antwerp (Jupiler Pro League)
2022-07-31T19:00:00.000Z · Zulte Waregem 0-1 Antwerp (Jupiler Pro League)
2022-03-19T19:45:00.000Z · Zulte Waregem 0-1 Antwerp (Jupiler Pro League)
2021-10-16T16:30:00.000Z · Zulte Waregem 2-1 Antwerp (Jupiler Pro League)
2020-12-16T17:45:00.000Z · Zulte Waregem 1-0 Antwerp (Jupiler Pro League)
2020-10-18T11:30:00.000Z · Zulte Waregem 1-3 Antwerp (Jupiler Pro League)
2020-01-26T19:00:00.000Z · Zulte Waregem 1-2 Antwerp (Jupiler Pro League)
2019-09-01T18:00:00.000Z · Zulte Waregem 2-0 Antwerp (Jupiler Pro League)

Jupiler Pro League table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gent	8	7	1	0	11	22
2	Club Brugge KV	8	7	0	1	15	21
3	Charleroi	8	7	0	1	9	21
4	Union St. Gilloise	8	6	2	0	18	20
5	Anderlecht	8	5	1	2	3	16
6	KVC Westerlo	8	4	1	3	3	13
7	Genk	8	3	3	2	4	12
8	Zulte Waregem	8	3	2	3	1	11
9	Standard Liege	8	3	2	3	0	11
10	Lommel United	8	3	2	3	0	11
11	SK Beveren	8	3	0	5	-6	9
12	St. Truiden	8	2	2	4	-1	8
13	Antwerp	8	2	1	5	-8	7
14	KV Mechelen	8	1	3	4	-8	6
15	OH Leuven	8	1	2	5	-8	5
16	RAAL La Louvière	8	1	1	6	-10	4
17	Kortrijk	8	1	0	7	-16	3
18	Cercle Brugge	8	0	3	5	-7	3

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Zulte Waregem win, at 56.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.

A 57% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.