Belgium · Super League Women · Losers Stage14:00

4 – 1

Saturday, 9 May 2026

Gent WLLLLL

· Analysis updated 19:51 UTC

Zulte-Waregem W vs Gent W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.15 expected goals for Zulte-Waregem W and 1.35 for Gent W, a combined total of 2.50. That distribution gives Gent W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 46% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

68.1% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.15 – 1.35

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Zulte-Waregem W home form

    7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Gent W away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Gent W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 32% / 27% / 41% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.15 goals for Zulte-Waregem W and 1.35 for Gent W, a combined 2.50 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Zulte-Waregem W win32%
Draw27%
Gent W win41%

Double chance 1X

59%

Double chance 12

73%

Double chance X2

68%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Both teams to score51%

Correct score

  • 1–112.7%
  • 0–111.1%
  • 1–09.4%
  • 1–28.6%
  • 0–08.2%

Recent form

Zulte-Waregem W

  • 2026-10-03T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Gent W · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Standard Liege W · 3-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Anderlecht W · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Club Brugge W · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T11:30:00.000Z · A vs RAAL La Louviere W · 0-1 (L)

Gent W

  • 2026-05-23T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Westerlo W · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-05-16T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Genk W · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-05-09T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Zulte-Waregem W · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-05-02T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Zulte-Waregem W · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-04-24T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Genk W · 2-2 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Super League Women table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Anderlecht W76011418
2Club Brugge W75201117
3OH Leuven W73311212
4Genk W7322011
5RAAL La Louviere W7232-19
6Standard Liege W7304-89
7Zulte-Waregem W7106-83
8Gent W7007-200

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 68.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 46%.

A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.