Belgium · Super League Women · Matchweek 912:30

12:30 UTC

Saturday, 14 November 2026

Gent WLLLLL

· Analysis updated 13:45 UTC

Zulte-Waregem W vs Gent W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.57 expected goals for Zulte-Waregem W and 1.25 for Gent W, a combined total of 3.82. That distribution gives Zulte-Waregem W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 66%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 73% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 66% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Zulte-Waregem W win

65.9% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.57 – 1.25

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Zulte-Waregem W home form

    7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Gent W away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Zulte-Waregem W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 66%, against 66% / 17% / 17% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.57 goals for Zulte-Waregem W and 1.25 for Gent W, a combined 3.82 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Zulte-Waregem W win66%
Draw17%
Gent W win17%

Double chance 1X

83%

Double chance 12

83%

Double chance X2

34%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%
Over 2.5 goals73%
Over 3.5 goals53%
Both teams to score66%

Correct score

  • 2–19.1%
  • 3–17.8%
  • 2–07.3%
  • 1–17.0%
  • 3–06.2%

Recent form

Zulte-Waregem W

  • 2026-10-03T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Gent W · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Standard Liege W · 3-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Anderlecht W · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Club Brugge W · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T11:30:00.000Z · A vs RAAL La Louviere W · 0-1 (L)

Gent W

  • 2026-05-23T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Westerlo W · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-05-16T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Genk W · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-05-09T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Zulte-Waregem W · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-05-02T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Zulte-Waregem W · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-04-24T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Genk W · 2-2 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Super League Women table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Anderlecht W76011418
2Club Brugge W75201117
3OH Leuven W73311212
4Genk W7322011
5RAAL La Louviere W7232-19
6Standard Liege W7304-89
7Zulte-Waregem W7106-83
8Gent W7007-200

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Zulte-Waregem W win, at 65.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 73%.

A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.