Belgium · Super League Women · Matchweek 414:00

3 – 4

Saturday, 26 September 2026

· Analysis updated 01:26 UTC

Zulte-Waregem W vs Standard Liege W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.00 expected goals for Zulte-Waregem W and 1.25 for Standard Liege W, a combined total of 2.25. That distribution gives Standard Liege W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 39% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

70.5% probability

High confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.00 – 1.25

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Zulte-Waregem W home form

    7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Standard Liege W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 30% / 29% / 42% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.00 goals for Zulte-Waregem W and 1.25 for Standard Liege W, a combined 2.25 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 39% and both teams to score at 45%, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.

Match result (1X2)

Zulte-Waregem W win30%
Draw29%
Standard Liege W win42%

Double chance 1X

58%

Double chance 12

72%

Double chance X2

71%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals66%
Over 2.5 goals39%
Over 3.5 goals19%
Both teams to score45%

Correct score

  • 0–113.2%
  • 1–113.2%
  • 0–010.5%
  • 1–010.5%
  • 0–28.2%

Recent form

Zulte-Waregem W

  • 2026-10-03T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Gent W · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Standard Liege W · 3-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Anderlecht W · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Club Brugge W · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T11:30:00.000Z · A vs RAAL La Louviere W · 0-1 (L)

Standard Liege W

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Super League Women table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Anderlecht W76011418
    2Club Brugge W75201117
    3OH Leuven W73311212
    4Genk W7322011
    5RAAL La Louviere W7232-19
    6Standard Liege W7304-89
    7Zulte-Waregem W7106-83
    8Gent W7007-200

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 70.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.

    It puts both teams scoring at 45% and over 2.5 goals at 39%.

    A 71% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.