Academico Viseu vs Sporting CP Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.59 expected goals for Academico Viseu and 1.59 for Sporting CP, a combined total of 3.18. That distribution gives Sporting CP the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws roughly 62% of the time.

Model pick

Sporting CP or Draw

61.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.59 – 1.59

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Academico Viseu win38%

Draw24%

Sporting CP win38%

Double chance 1X

62%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

62%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals83%

Over 2.5 goals62%

Over 3.5 goals39%

Both teams to score63%

Correct score

1–110.5%
1–28.4%
2–18.4%
2–26.6%
0–16.6%

Why the model likes this

Most likely outcome
The model rates Sporting CP to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 38% / 24% / 38% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.59 goals for Academico Viseu and 1.59 for Sporting CP, a combined 3.18 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 62% and both teams to score at 63%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
Model confidence
Sporting CP or Draw is the headline pick at 62% with medium confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.

Recent form

Academico Viseu

Sporting CP

2026-08-14T19:15:00.000Z · H vs Vitória SC · 3-2 (W)
2026-08-08T19:30:00.000Z · A vs Estrela · 2-2 (D)
2026-07-31T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Nottingham Forest · 4-1 (W)
2026-07-25T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Monaco · 2-0 (W)
2026-07-20T19:15:00.000Z · H vs Strasbourg · 7-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Primeira Liga table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	2	2	0	0	4	6
2	Santa Clara	2	1	1	0	1	4
3	Sporting CP	2	1	1	0	1	4
4	GIL Vicente	1	1	0	0	1	3
5	Maritimo	1	1	0	0	1	3
6	Arouca	1	1	0	0	1	3
7	Estrela	2	0	2	0	0	2
8	SC Braga	1	0	1	0	0	1
9	Famalicao	1	0	1	0	0	1
10	Estoril	1	0	1	0	0	1
11	Moreirense	1	0	1	0	0	1
12	Benfica	1	0	1	0	0	1
13	Nacional	1	0	1	0	0	1
14	Academico Viseu	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Alverca	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Casa Pia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Vitória SC	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Rio Ave	2	0	0	2	-3	0

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.