Primeira Liga Predictions & Statistics
Model probabilities, fixtures and standings for the Primeira Liga.
Matches
11
Goals/game
2.91
BTTS
64%
Over 2.5
55%
Home wins
36%
Draws
55%
Fixtures & predictions
Matchweek 2
15 AUG – 17 AUG6 fixtures in this round. The model favours the home side in 5 matches, projects 2.7 goals per game and sees both teams to score above 50% in 6. Highest-confidence call: Rio Ave vs FC Porto — FC Porto or Draw (69%).
Portugal · Primeira Liga
6 fixturesModel pick
FC Porto or Draw
69% probability
BTTS 50%
O2.5 45%
1X2 31/27/42
Model pick
Nacional or Draw
62% probability
BTTS 60%
O2.5 58%
1X2 38/24/38
Model pick
Arouca to Win
48% probability
BTTS 56%
O2.5 54%
1X2 48/24/28
Model pick
SC Braga or Draw
65% probability
BTTS 57%
O2.5 53%
1X2 40/25/35
Model pick
Famalicao or Draw
66% probability
BTTS 51%
O2.5 45%
1X2 39/27/35
Model pick
Casa Pia or Draw
65% probability
BTTS 57%
O2.5 53%
1X2 40/25/35
Matchweek 3
22 AUG – 23 AUG4 fixtures in this round. The model favours the home side in 4 matches, projects 3.0 goals per game and sees both teams to score above 50% in 4. Highest-confidence call: Vitória SC vs Nacional — Vitória SC or Draw (62%).
Portugal · Primeira Liga
4 fixturesModel pick
Maritimo to Win
48% probability
BTTS 56%
O2.5 54%
1X2 48/24/28
Model pick
Estoril to Win
47% probability
BTTS 50%
O2.5 46%
1X2 47/26/27
Model pick
Sporting CP to Win
56% probability
BTTS 66%
O2.5 68%
1X2 56/21/23
Model pick
Vitória SC or Draw
62% probability
BTTS 63%
O2.5 61%
1X2 38/24/38
Last round results
Matchweek 1
8 AUG – 10 AUG8 matches produced 21 goals, with 3 home wins, 4 draws and both teams scoring in 4.
Portugal · Primeira Liga
8 fixturesModel pick
Maritimo to Win
50% probability
BTTS 47%
O2.5 43%
1X2 50/27/24
Model pick
Arouca or Draw
67% probability
BTTS 54%
O2.5 49%
1X2 33/26/41
Model pick
Estrela or Draw
65% probability
BTTS 72%
O2.5 73%
1X2 44/21/35
Model pick
FC Porto to Win
58% probability
BTTS 54%
O2.5 56%
1X2 58/22/20
Model pick
Benfica to Win
46% probability
BTTS 66%
O2.5 65%
1X2 46/23/32
Model pick
Moreirense to Win
46% probability
BTTS 66%
O2.5 65%
1X2 46/23/32
Model pick
GIL Vicente to Win
50% probability
BTTS 47%
O2.5 43%
1X2 50/27/24
Model pick
Santa Clara to Win
46% probability
BTTS 66%
O2.5 65%
1X2 46/23/32
Primeira Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting CP | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | FC Porto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | GIL Vicente | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Maritimo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Arouca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 |
| 7 | SC Braga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Nacional | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Academico Viseu | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Famalicao | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Estoril | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Santa Clara | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Moreirense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Benfica | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Alverca | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Vitória SC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 0 |