Primeira Liga Predictions & Statistics

Model probabilities, fixtures and standings for the Primeira Liga.

Matches

Goals/game

2.75

BTTS

51%

Over 2.5

55%

Home wins

39%

Draws

25%

What the season data says

Completed matches this season average 2.75 goals, and 55% of them have gone over 2.5. Both teams have scored in 51% of matches.

Home sides have won 39% of those matches, 25% finished level and 36% went to the visitors.

Strongest recent form in the table: FC Porto, Benfica, Academico Viseu.

Across the 10 upcoming fixtures listed below, the model's leading selection is a home win in 5, a draw in 0 and an away win in 5.

All figures are calculated from this competition's confirmed results and the model's current output for its scheduled fixtures.

Fixtures & predictions

Matchweek 9

23 OCT – 26 OCT

9 fixtures in this round. The model favours the home side in 5 matches, projects 2.7 goals per game and sees both teams to score above 50% in 5. Highest-confidence call: Vitória SC vs Maritimo — Vitória SC or Draw (71%).

Portugal · Primeira Liga

9 fixtures

Model pick

Home/Draw

71%

1X2 42/29/29 · BTTS 43% · O2.5 37%

BTTS 43% · O2.5 37%

Model pick

Home/Draw

64%

1X2 36/28/36 · BTTS 48% · O2.5 42%

BTTS 48% · O2.5 42%

Model pick

Home/Draw

67%

1X2 40/27/33 · BTTS 51% · O2.5 46%

BTTS 51% · O2.5 46%

Model pick

FC Porto win

63%

1X2 15/23/63 · BTTS 43% · O2.5 46%

BTTS 43% · O2.5 46%

Model pick

Home/Draw

66%

1X2 37/28/35 · BTTS 47% · O2.5 40%

BTTS 47% · O2.5 40%

Model pick

SC Braga win

55%

1X2 23/22/55 · BTTS 60% · O2.5 61%

BTTS 60% · O2.5 61%

Model pick

Famalicao win

62%

1X2 19/20/62 · BTTS 60% · O2.5 65%

BTTS 60% · O2.5 65%

Model pick

Sporting CP win

48%

1X2 48/23/29 · BTTS 61% · O2.5 60%

BTTS 61% · O2.5 60%

Model pick

Benfica win

50%

1X2 27/23/50 · BTTS 61% · O2.5 60%

Benfica win50%

BTTS 61% · O2.5 60%

Matchweek 10

30 OCT

1 fixture in this round. The model favours the home side in 0 matches, projects 3.3 goals per game and sees both teams to score above 50% in 0. Highest-confidence call: Casa Pia vs Sporting CP — Sporting CP to Win (78%).

Portugal · Primeira Liga

1 fixtures

Model pick

Sporting CP win

78%

1X2 8/14/78 · BTTS 45% · O2.5 63%

Sporting CP win78%

BTTS 45% · O2.5 63%

Last round results

Matchweek 7

20 SEP

1 matches produced 4 goals, with 1 home wins, 0 draws and both teams scoring in 1.

Portugal · Primeira Liga

1 fixtures

FC Porto3

Benfica1

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Model pick

Benfica win

57%

1X2 23/20/57 · BTTS 68% · O2.5 72%

Benfica win57%

BTTS 68% · O2.5 72%

Primeira Liga Standings

Season 2026/27 · Standings data updated: 13 Oct 2026, 16:34 UTC

Primeira Liga

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	8	8	0	0	20	4	16	24
2	Benfica	8	6	1	1	24	7	17	19
3	Sporting CP	8	5	3	0	20	9	11	18
4	Santa Clara	8	5	3	0	12	4	8	18
5	Arouca	8	4	2	2	11	7	4	14
6	Academico Viseu	8	4	2	2	11	10	1	14
7	GIL Vicente	7	3	2	2	6	5	1	11
8	Alverca	8	3	2	3	13	12	1	11
9	SC Braga	7	3	2	2	8	8	0	11
10	Estrela	8	2	4	2	14	15	-1	10
11	Maritimo	8	2	2	4	9	14	-5	8
12	Moreirense	8	2	2	4	8	15	-7	8
13	Famalicao	8	1	4	3	10	11	-1	7
14	Rio Ave	8	2	1	5	8	17	-9	7
15	Vitória SC	8	1	2	5	5	10	-5	5
16	Nacional	8	1	1	6	9	18	-9	4
17	Casa Pia	8	1	1	6	3	17	-14	4
18	Estoril	8	0	2	6	4	12	-8	2