Brazil · Serie A · Regular Season - 1621:30

23

Sunday, 17 May 2026

RemoDLWLW

Arena Condá · Referee Alex Gomes Stefano, Brazil · Analysis updated 03:27 UTC

Chapecoense-sc vs Remo Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.45 expected goals for Chapecoense-sc and 1.60 for Remo, a combined total of 3.05. That distribution gives Remo the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws roughly 59% of the time.

Model pick

Remo or Draw

65.3% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.45 – 1.60

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Chapecoense-sc win35%
Draw24%
Remo win41%

Double chance 1X

59%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

65%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals81%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Over 3.5 goals36%
Both teams to score61%

Correct score

  • 1–111.0%
  • 1–28.8%
  • 2–18.0%
  • 0–17.6%
  • 1–06.9%

Why the model likes this

  • Chapecoense-sc home form

    4 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Remo to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 35% / 24% / 41% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.45 goals for Chapecoense-sc and 1.60 for Remo, a combined 3.05 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 59% and both teams to score at 61%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.

Recent form

Chapecoense-sc

  • 2026-08-08T23:30:00.000Z · A vs Coritiba · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-05T22:00:00.000Z · A vs Cruzeiro · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-02T21:30:00.000Z · H vs Cruzeiro · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-07-25T21:30:00.000Z · A vs Santos · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-07-23T00:30:00.000Z · H vs Flamengo · 0-4 (L)

Remo

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Palmeiras2314632148
    2Flamengo2112632142
    3Atletico Paranaense2312561141
    4Fluminense231085638
    5Cruzeiro22967-133
    6Bahia22895433
    7RB Bragantino22958432
    8Corinthians22886432
    9Botafogo21867230
    10Coritiba22868-230
    11Atletico-MG21858029
    12Sao Paulo21759126
    13Vitoria227510-1126
    14Gremio21678-325
    15Mirassol216510-623
    16Internacional22589-423
    17Santos21579-622
    18Vasco DA Gama21579-822
    19Remo225710-1022
    20Chapecoense-sc211713-2310

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.