· Analysis updated 10:57 UTC
CS U Craiova II vs Unirea Bascov Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.03 expected goals for CS U Craiova II and 1.75 for Unirea Bascov, a combined total of 3.78. That distribution gives CS U Craiova II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 73% for over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
66.0% probability
Expected goals
2.03 – 1.75
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
CS U Craiova II home form
11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Unirea Bascov away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates CS U Craiova II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 45% / 21% / 34% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.03 goals for CS U Craiova II and 1.75 for Unirea Bascov, a combined 3.78 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
66%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
55%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.2%
- 1–18.1%
- 2–27.2%
- 1–27.1%
- 3–15.6%
Recent form
CS U Craiova II
- 2026-10-23T12:00:00.000Z · H vs CSM Targu Jiu · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-16T12:00:00.000Z · A vs CS Drobeta-Turnu Severin · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Jiul Petroşani · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Păușești · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Unirea Bascov · 1-1 (D)
Unirea Bascov
- 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Oltul Curtişoara · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-10-16T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Vulturii Fărcăşeşti · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-09T16:00:00.000Z · A vs CSM Targu Jiu · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-02T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Jiul Petroşani · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs CS U Craiova II · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · CS U Craiova II 1-1 Unirea Bascov (Liga III - Serie 6)
- 2021-04-23T14:00:00.000Z · CS U Craiova II 1-2 Unirea Bascov (Liga III - Serie 6)
- 2020-10-30T13:00:00.000Z · CS U Craiova II 3-2 Unirea Bascov (Liga III - Serie 6)
Liga III - Serie 6 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CS Drobeta-Turnu Severin | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 25 |
| 2 | Minerul Lupeni | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 19 |
| 3 | CSM Targu Jiu | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 18 |
| 4 | CS U Craiova II | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16 |
| 5 | Filiaşi | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15 |
| 6 | Jiul Petroşani | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15 |
| 7 | Oltul Curtişoara | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 15 |
| 8 | Vulturii Fărcăşeşti | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12 |
| 9 | Unirea Bascov | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12 |
| 10 | Păușești | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Academica Balș | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -4 | 7 |
| 12 | Petrolul Hartiesti | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | -32 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 66.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 72% and over 2.5 goals at 73%.
A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.