Stade de Tourbillon · Referee D. Smajc · Analysis updated 22:22 UTC
FC Sion vs FC Noah Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.15 expected goals for FC Sion and 1.18 for FC Noah, a combined total of 3.33. That distribution gives FC Sion the largest share of the 1X2 market at 60%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 65% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 60% favourite still loses or draws roughly 40% of the time.
Model pick
FC Sion to Win
59.6% probability
Expected goals
2.15 – 1.18
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
80%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
40%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.8%
- 1–19.1%
- 2–08.3%
- 1–07.7%
- 3–17.0%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates FC Sion to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 60%, against 60% / 20% / 20% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.15 goals for FC Sion and 1.18 for FC Noah, a combined 3.33 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 65% and both teams to score at 61%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
Model confidence
FC Sion to Win is the headline pick at 60% with medium confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
FC Sion
FC Noah
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.