· Analysis updated 17:47 UTC
Hlinsko vs Kosmonosy Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.63 expected goals for Hlinsko and 2.20 for Kosmonosy, a combined total of 3.82. That distribution gives Kosmonosy the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Kosmonosy win
51.0% probability
Expected goals
1.63 – 2.20
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Hlinsko home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Kosmonosy away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Kosmonosy to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 29% / 20% / 51% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.63 goals for Hlinsko and 2.20 for Kosmonosy, a combined 3.82 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
49%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
71%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–28.6%
- 1–17.8%
- 2–27.0%
- 2–16.3%
- 1–36.3%
Recent form
Hlinsko
- 2026-10-24T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Turnov · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-18T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Police n/Metují · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-10-10T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Kosmonosy · 2-5 (L)
- 2026-10-04T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Chlumec nad Cidlinou · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-26T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Vysoké Mýto · 2-3 (L)
Kosmonosy
- 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Slavia Hradec Králové · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Letohrad · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-19T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Chrudim II · 6-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Turnov · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-05T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Spartak Police n/Metují · 4-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
4. liga - Divizie C table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vysoké Mýto | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 30 |
| 2 | Přepeře | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 27 |
| 3 | Kosmonosy | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 25 |
| 4 | Trutnov | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 25 |
| 5 | Turnov | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 23 |
| 6 | Ústí nad Orlicí | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 21 |
| 7 | Chlumec nad Cidlinou | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 21 |
| 8 | Spartak Police n/Metují | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 16 |
| 9 | Kolín | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 15 |
| 10 | Dvůr Králové | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 | Slavia Hradec Králové | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 14 |
| 12 | Hlinsko | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 13 |
| 13 | Vykan | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | Svitavy | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -17 | 5 |
| 15 | Letohrad | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -25 | 2 |
| 16 | Chrudim II | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -35 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Kosmonosy win, at 51.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 71% and over 2.5 goals at 74%.
A 51% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.