· Analysis updated 07:10 UTC
Interclube vs Académica do Lobito Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.50 expected goals for Interclube and 0.41 for Académica do Lobito, a combined total of 1.91. That distribution gives Interclube the largest share of the 1X2 market at 65%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 30% for over 2.5 goals and 26% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 22%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 65% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Interclube win
64.7% probability
Expected goals
1.50 – 0.41
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Interclube home form
8 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Académica do Lobito away threat
Scored in 1 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
90%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
35%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–022.2%
- 2–016.6%
- 0–014.8%
- 1–19.1%
- 3–08.3%
Recent form
Interclube
- 2026-09-01T14:30:00.000Z · A vs 1º de Agosto · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-28T14:30:00.000Z · H vs FC Luanda · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-23T14:00:00.000Z · A vs São Salvador · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-05-24T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Académica do Lobito · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-05-20T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Recreativo do Libolo · 1-1 (D)
Académica do Lobito
- 2026-08-30T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Petro de Luanda · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-23T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Wiliete · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-05-24T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Interclube · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-05-20T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Petro de Luanda · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-05-17T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Recreativo do Libolo · 0-3 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-05-24T14:00:00.000Z · Interclube 0-0 Académica do Lobito (Girabola)
- 2026-02-14T15:00:00.000Z · Interclube 1-0 Académica do Lobito (Girabola)
- 2025-02-22T15:00:00.000Z · Interclube 1-1 Académica do Lobito (Girabola)
- 2024-09-21T14:30:00.000Z · Interclube 2-0 Académica do Lobito (Girabola)
- 2024-05-19T14:30:00.000Z · Interclube 0-0 Académica do Lobito (Girabola)
- 2024-02-10T14:30:00.000Z · Interclube 1-0 Académica do Lobito (Girabola)
- 2023-02-04T14:30:00.000Z · Interclube 5-1 Académica do Lobito (Girabola)
- 2022-09-24T14:30:00.000Z · Interclube 0-0 Académica do Lobito (Girabola)
- 2022-05-14T14:30:00.000Z · Interclube 2-3 Académica do Lobito (Girabola)
- 2021-12-19T14:30:00.000Z · Interclube 1-1 Académica do Lobito (Girabola)
Girabola table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wiliete | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 16 |
| 2 | Petro de Luanda | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | Bravos do Maquis FC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | 1º de Agosto | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | Interclube | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 | Desportivo Huíla | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Sagrada Esperança | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 |
| 8 | Recreativo do Libolo | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 9 | São Salvador | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | 1º de Maio | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 11 | CD Lunda-Sul | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 | Recreativo da Caála | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | Kabuscorp | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 14 | FC Luanda | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 5 |
| 15 | Sporting de Cabinda | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Académica do Lobito | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -9 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Interclube win, at 64.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 26% and over 2.5 goals at 30%.
A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.