Czech-Republic · 4. liga - Divizie F · Group F - 508:15
Opava IILWWLL

0 – 3

Saturday, 29 August 2026

KravareDDWWW

· Analysis updated 19:51 UTC

Opava II vs Kravare Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.70 expected goals for Opava II and 2.09 for Kravare, a combined total of 3.79. That distribution gives Kravare the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 73% for over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Kravare win

47.1% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.70 – 2.09

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Opava II home form

    6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Kravare to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 32% / 21% / 47% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.70 goals for Opava II and 2.09 for Kravare, a combined 3.79 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 73% and both teams to score at 72%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.

Match result (1X2)

Opava II win32%
Draw21%
Kravare win47%

Double chance 1X

53%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

68%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%
Over 2.5 goals73%
Over 3.5 goals53%
Both teams to score72%

Correct score

  • 1–28.4%
  • 1–18.0%
  • 2–27.1%
  • 2–16.8%
  • 1–35.8%

Recent form

Opava II

  • 2026-10-24T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Hlučín · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-17T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Frýdlant · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-10T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Stonava · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Valašské Meziříčí · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Frydek-Mistek B · 2-3 (L)

Kravare

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    4. liga - Divizie F table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Bospor Bohumín1210022530
    2Kravare128311527
    3Vratimov12903827
    4Hlučín12723723
    5Valašské Meziříčí12543619
    6Opava II12615419
    7Zabreh12534218
    8Jiskra Rýmařov12525717
    9Stonava12525017
    10Nový Jičín12435-415
    11Pustá Polom12426-414
    12Frydek-Mistek B12417-413
    13Šumperk12255-311
    14Břidličná12318-1110
    15Bílovec12237-179
    16Frýdlant121011-313

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Kravare win, at 47.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

    It puts both teams scoring at 72% and over 2.5 goals at 73%.

    A 47% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.