France · Ligue 3 · Matchweek 612:45

12:45 UTC

Saturday, 12 September 2026

Stade Robert Diochon · Analysis updated 10:10 UTC

Quevilly vs Le Puy Foot Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.50 expected goals for Quevilly and 1.00 for Le Puy Foot, a combined total of 1.50. That distribution gives Le Puy Foot the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 35%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 19% for over 2.5 goals and 25% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 22%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Le Puy Foot win

47.0% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

0.50 – 1.00

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Quevilly win18%
Draw35%
Le Puy Foot win47%

Double chance 1X

53%

Double chance 12

65%

Double chance X2

82%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals44%
Over 2.5 goals19%
Over 3.5 goals7%
Both teams to score25%

Correct score

  • 0–022.3%
  • 0–122.3%
  • 0–211.2%
  • 1–011.2%
  • 1–111.2%

Why the model likes this

  • Quevilly home form

    9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Le Puy Foot to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 18% / 35% / 47% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.50 goals for Quevilly and 1.00 for Le Puy Foot, a combined 1.50 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 19% and both teams to score at 25%, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 22%.

Recent form

Quevilly

  • 2026-08-14T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Concarneau · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-08-07T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Gobelins · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-07-31T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Oissel · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-07-25T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Avranches · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-07-22T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Clermont Foot · 1-1 (D)

Le Puy Foot

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.