· Referee Danilo Nikolic, Serbia · Analysis updated 14:39 UTC
Radnicki NIS vs Radnicki 1923 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.77 expected goals for Radnicki NIS and 1.13 for Radnicki 1923, a combined total of 1.90. That distribution gives Radnicki 1923 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 31%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 30% for over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 17%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
74.8% probability
Expected goals
0.77 – 1.13
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Radnicki NIS home form
4 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Radnicki 1923 away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
56%
Double chance 12
69%
Double chance X2
75%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–116.8%
- 0–015.0%
- 1–113.0%
- 1–011.6%
- 0–29.5%
Recent form
Radnicki NIS
- 2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Vojvodina · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-10-03T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Lokomotiv Sofia · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-20T17:00:00.000Z · A vs FK Crvena Zvezda · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-13T14:00:00.000Z · H vs OFK Beograd · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-05T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Mladost Lucani · 0-1 (L)
Radnicki 1923
- 2026-09-19T17:00:00.000Z · A vs OFK Beograd · 5-3 (W)
- 2026-09-12T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Mladost Lucani · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Macva · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-29T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Radnicki NIS · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-22T17:00:00.000Z · H vs IMT Novi Beograd · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-04-19T16:00:00.000Z · Radnicki NIS 1-1 Radnicki 1923 (Super Liga)
- 2026-02-08T12:00:00.000Z · Radnicki NIS 2-1 Radnicki 1923 (Super Liga)
- 2025-08-31T19:00:00.000Z · Radnicki NIS 0-1 Radnicki 1923 (Super Liga)
- 2024-12-09T17:00:00.000Z · Radnicki NIS 1-2 Radnicki 1923 (Super Liga)
- 2024-08-04T19:00:00.000Z · Radnicki NIS 0-4 Radnicki 1923 (Super Liga)
- 2024-06-28T09:00:00.000Z · Radnicki NIS 0-3 Radnicki 1923 (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2024-02-11T12:00:00.000Z · Radnicki NIS 2-3 Radnicki 1923 (Super Liga)
- 2023-08-25T16:30:00.000Z · Radnicki NIS 4-1 Radnicki 1923 (Super Liga)
- 2023-04-07T13:00:00.000Z · Radnicki NIS 0-1 Radnicki 1923 (Super Liga)
- 2022-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · Radnicki NIS 1-3 Radnicki 1923 (Super Liga)
Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 28 |
| 2 | Vojvodina | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 22 |
| 3 | Radnicki 1923 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 17 |
| 4 | Mladost Lucani | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | -2 | 16 |
| 5 | IMT Novi Beograd | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 |
| 6 | Železničar Pančevo | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 |
| 7 | Radnik Surdulica | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 | Novi Pazar | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 | Cukaricki | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 11 |
| 10 | OFK Beograd | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 9 |
| 11 | FK Partizan | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 | Radnicki NIS | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 13 | Macva | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 8 |
| 14 | Zemun | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -13 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 74.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 36% and over 2.5 goals at 30%.
A 75% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.