Remo vs Corinthians Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.38 expected goals for Remo and 1.33 for Corinthians, a combined total of 2.70. That distribution gives Remo the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 51% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Home/Draw

64.0% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.38 – 1.33

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Remo home form
2 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Corinthians away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Remo to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 38% / 26% / 36% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.38 goals for Remo and 1.33 for Corinthians, a combined 2.70 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Remo win38%

Draw26%

Corinthians win36%

Double chance 1X

64%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

62%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals75%

Over 2.5 goals51%

Over 3.5 goals29%

Both teams to score55%

Correct score

1–112.2%
1–09.2%
0–18.9%
2–18.4%
1–28.1%

Recent form

Remo

2026-10-10T21:00:00.000Z · A vs Vasco DA Gama · 0-0 (D)
2026-10-07T22:30:00.000Z · H vs Gremio · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-19T21:30:00.000Z · H vs Santos · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-14T23:00:00.000Z · A vs Bahia · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-06T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Flamengo · 0-1 (L)

Corinthians

2026-10-11T20:30:00.000Z · A vs Palmeiras · 1-4 (L)
2026-10-07T22:30:00.000Z · A vs Internacional · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-20T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Fluminense · 1-3 (L)
2026-09-17T00:30:00.000Z · H vs Estudiantes L.P. · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-13T20:30:00.000Z · A vs Flamengo · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

2026-07-23T22:30:00.000Z · Remo 0-3 Corinthians (Serie A)
2023-04-27T00:30:00.000Z · Remo 0-2 Corinthians (Copa Do Brasil)
2023-04-13T00:30:00.000Z · Remo 2-0 Corinthians (Copa Do Brasil)

Serie A table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Palmeiras	31	19	9	3	32	66
2	Flamengo	30	19	7	4	33	64
3	Atletico Paranaense	31	15	8	8	12	53
4	Fluminense	30	14	9	7	11	51
5	Atletico-MG	31	14	8	9	7	50
6	Bahia	30	13	10	7	8	49
7	Cruzeiro	30	14	6	10	2	48
8	Sao Paulo	31	12	6	13	1	42
9	Santos	30	11	9	10	1	42
10	RB Bragantino	30	11	7	12	3	40
11	Botafogo	31	10	9	12	-4	39
12	Coritiba	31	10	9	12	-11	39
13	Vitoria	30	10	6	14	-11	36
14	Mirassol	31	9	9	13	-8	36
15	Vasco DA Gama	30	9	8	13	-7	35
16	Corinthians	30	8	8	14	-7	32
17	Internacional	31	7	11	13	-7	32
18	Gremio	30	7	10	13	-8	31
19	Remo	30	5	10	15	-15	25
20	Chapecoense-sc	30	3	9	18	-32	18

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 64.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.

A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.