Brazil · Serie A · Regular Season - 1519:00
RemoDLWLW

11

Sunday, 10 May 2026

PalmeirasLDWLW

Mangueirão · Referee R. Klein · Analysis updated 03:27 UTC

Remo vs Palmeiras Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.95 expected goals for Remo and 1.86 for Palmeiras, a combined total of 2.81. That distribution gives Palmeiras the largest share of the 1X2 market at 59%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 53% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 59% favourite still loses or draws roughly 41% of the time.

Model pick

Palmeiras to Win

58.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

0.95 – 1.86

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Remo win19%
Draw22%
Palmeiras win59%

Double chance 1X

41%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

81%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals77%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Over 3.5 goals31%
Both teams to score52%

Correct score

  • 0–111.2%
  • 1–110.6%
  • 0–210.4%
  • 1–29.9%
  • 0–36.5%

Why the model likes this

  • Palmeiras away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Palmeiras to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 59%, against 19% / 22% / 59% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.95 goals for Remo and 1.86 for Palmeiras, a combined 2.81 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 53% and both teams to score at 52%, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.

Recent form

Remo

    Palmeiras

    • 2026-08-15T19:30:00.000Z · A vs Fluminense · 2-3 (L)
    • 2026-08-12T22:00:00.000Z · H vs Cerro Porteno · 1-1 (D)
    • 2026-08-09T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Internacional · 0-0 (D)
    • 2026-08-06T00:30:00.000Z · A vs Fortaleza EC · 2-3 (L)
    • 2026-08-02T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Fortaleza EC · 3-0 (W)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Palmeiras2314632148
    2Flamengo2112632142
    3Atletico Paranaense2312561141
    4Fluminense231085638
    5Cruzeiro22967-133
    6Bahia22895433
    7RB Bragantino22958432
    8Corinthians22886432
    9Botafogo21867230
    10Coritiba22868-230
    11Atletico-MG21858029
    12Sao Paulo21759126
    13Vitoria227510-1126
    14Gremio21678-325
    15Mirassol216510-623
    16Internacional22589-423
    17Santos21579-622
    18Vasco DA Gama21579-822
    19Remo225710-1022
    20Chapecoense-sc211713-2310

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.