Brazil · Serie A · Regular Season - 1119:30
RemoDLWLW

11

Saturday, 11 April 2026

Estadio Evandro Almeida · Referee R. Pereira · Analysis updated 03:27 UTC

Remo vs Vasco DA Gama Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.50 expected goals for Remo and 1.27 for Vasco DA Gama, a combined total of 2.77. That distribution gives Remo the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws roughly 57% of the time.

Model pick

Remo or Draw

67.9% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.50 – 1.27

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Remo win43%
Draw25%
Vasco DA Gama win32%

Double chance 1X

68%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

57%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Both teams to score56%

Correct score

  • 1–111.9%
  • 1–09.4%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–17.9%
  • 1–27.6%

Why the model likes this

  • Vasco DA Gama away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Remo to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 43% / 25% / 32% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.50 goals for Remo and 1.27 for Vasco DA Gama, a combined 2.77 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 52% and both teams to score at 56%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Recent form

Remo

    Vasco DA Gama

    • 2026-08-13T22:00:00.000Z · H vs Olimpia · 0-0 (D)
    • 2026-08-09T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Bahia · 0-0 (D)
    • 2026-08-06T00:30:00.000Z · A vs Fluminense · 3-1 (W)
    • 2026-08-01T20:30:00.000Z · H vs Fluminense · 0-0 (D)
    • 2026-07-29T22:00:00.000Z · H vs Independiente Medellin · 1-0 (W)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Palmeiras2314632148
    2Flamengo2112632142
    3Atletico Paranaense2312561141
    4Fluminense231085638
    5Cruzeiro22967-133
    6Bahia22895433
    7RB Bragantino22958432
    8Corinthians22886432
    9Botafogo21867230
    10Coritiba22868-230
    11Atletico-MG21858029
    12Sao Paulo21759126
    13Vitoria227510-1126
    14Gremio21678-325
    15Mirassol216510-623
    16Internacional22589-423
    17Santos21579-622
    18Vasco DA Gama21579-822
    19Remo225710-1022
    20Chapecoense-sc211713-2310

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.