Sydney United Sports Centre · Analysis updated 09:12 UTC
Sydney United vs Rockdale City Suns Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.08 expected goals for Sydney United and 1.10 for Rockdale City Suns, a combined total of 2.18. That distribution gives Rockdale City Suns the largest share of the 1X2 market at 36%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 37% for over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 36% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
65.3% probability
Expected goals
1.08 – 1.10
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Sydney United home form
11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Rockdale City Suns away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 7 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
64%
Double chance 12
71%
Double chance X2
65%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–113.4%
- 0–112.5%
- 1–012.2%
- 0–011.4%
- 1–27.4%
Recent form
Sydney United
- 2026-10-23T08:30:00.000Z · A vs South Melbourne · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-18T04:00:00.000Z · H vs Canberra FC · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-13T05:00:00.000Z · A vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-06T04:00:00.000Z · H vs Manly United · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-30T05:00:00.000Z · H vs St. George Saints · 6-0 (W)
Rockdale City Suns
- 2026-08-30T05:00:00.000Z · H vs UNSW · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-21T09:30:00.000Z · A vs Sydney FC U23 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-16T05:00:00.000Z · H vs Wollongong Wolves · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-08T09:15:00.000Z · A vs St George City FA · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-02T05:00:00.000Z · H vs Manly United · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-07-12T04:30:00.000Z · Sydney United 1-0 Rockdale City Suns (New South Wales NPL)
- 2026-03-28T06:00:00.000Z · Sydney United 2-1 Rockdale City Suns (New South Wales NPL)
- 2025-07-27T05:00:00.000Z · Sydney United 0-0 Rockdale City Suns (New South Wales NPL)
- 2025-04-13T05:00:00.000Z · Sydney United 1-3 Rockdale City Suns (New South Wales NPL)
- 2024-09-01T03:00:00.000Z · Sydney United 1-3 Rockdale City Suns (New South Wales NPL)
- 2024-07-14T05:00:00.000Z · Sydney United 0-4 Rockdale City Suns (New South Wales NPL)
- 2024-04-07T05:00:00.000Z · Sydney United 1-2 Rockdale City Suns (New South Wales NPL)
- 2023-07-16T05:00:00.000Z · Sydney United 3-3 Rockdale City Suns (New South Wales NPL)
- 2023-04-02T05:00:00.000Z · Sydney United 1-3 Rockdale City Suns (New South Wales NPL)
- 2022-06-26T05:00:00.000Z · Sydney United 3-3 Rockdale City Suns (New South Wales NPL)
New South Wales NPL table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | APIA Leichhardt Tigers | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 68 |
| 2 | Sydney United | 30 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 64 |
| 3 | Marconi Stallions | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 62 |
| 4 | Sutherland Sharks | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 8 | 46 |
| 5 | Manly United | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 44 |
| 6 | Rockdale City Suns | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 6 | 43 |
| 7 | NWS Spirit | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | -1 | 41 |
| 8 | SD Raiders | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | -5 | 41 |
| 9 | Sydney FC U23 | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | -5 | 41 |
| 10 | Western Sydney Wanderers U23 | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 6 | 38 |
| 11 | Wollongong Wolves | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | -8 | 38 |
| 12 | St George City FA | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | -16 | 37 |
| 13 | Blacktown City | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 32 |
| 14 | UNSW | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | -11 | 32 |
| 15 | St. George Saints | 30 | 8 | 3 | 19 | -27 | 27 |
| 16 | Sydney Olympic | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | -30 | 23 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 65.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 44% and over 2.5 goals at 37%.
A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.