· Analysis updated 23:43 UTC
Tord vs Motala Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.22 expected goals for Tord and 1.36 for Motala, a combined total of 2.58. That distribution gives Motala the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 48% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws roughly 60% of the time.
Model pick
Motala or Draw
66.5% probability
Expected goals
1.22 – 1.36
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
60%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
67%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.6%
- 0–110.3%
- 1–09.2%
- 1–28.6%
- 2–17.7%
Why the model likes this
Tord home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Motala to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 34% / 26% / 40% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.22 goals for Tord and 1.36 for Motala, a combined 2.58 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 48% and both teams to score at 52%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.
Recent form
Tord
- 2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Motala · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-09T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Herrestads · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-07-31T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Kumla · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-06-27T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Ahlafors · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-06-18T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Kumla · 0-1 (L)
Motala
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Division 2 - Norra Götaland table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Husqvarna | 17 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 28 | 45 |
| 2 | Skara | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 37 |
| 3 | IFK Skövde | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 31 |
| 4 | Ahlafors | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 30 |
| 5 | Grebbestad | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 29 |
| 6 | Stenungsund | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 25 |
| 7 | Herrestads | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | -1 | 24 |
| 8 | Motala | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 20 |
| 9 | Kumla | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | -7 | 20 |
| 10 | Vänersborgs FK | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -11 | 16 |
| 11 | Tord | 17 | 1 | 9 | 7 | -10 | 12 |
| 12 | Lidköping | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | -18 | 12 |
| 13 | IF Karlstad II | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | -13 | 10 |
| 14 | Vänersborgs IF | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | -25 | 9 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.