Party-Rent-Arena · Analysis updated 06:40 UTC
Victoria Rosport vs Atert Bissen Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.75 expected goals for Victoria Rosport and 2.52 for Atert Bissen, a combined total of 4.28. That distribution gives Atert Bissen the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 80% for over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Atert Bissen win
54.7% probability
Expected goals
1.75 – 2.52
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Victoria Rosport home form
4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Atert Bissen away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Atert Bissen to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 27% / 19% / 55% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.75 goals for Victoria Rosport and 2.52 for Atert Bissen, a combined 4.28 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
45%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
74%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–27.8%
- 2–26.8%
- 1–36.5%
- 1–16.1%
- 2–35.7%
Recent form
Victoria Rosport
- 2026-10-11T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Swift Hesperange · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Sanem · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-16T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Etzella Ettelbruck · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-11T18:00:00.000Z · A vs UN Kaerjeng 97 · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · H vs US Hostert · 0-2 (L)
Atert Bissen
- 2026-10-11T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-01T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Liège · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · A vs ALSS Luxembourg · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-16T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Wiltz · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-09-13T14:00:00.000Z · A vs US Rumelange · 6-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
National Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UNA Strassen | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 31 |
| 2 | FC Differdange 03 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 30 |
| 3 | US Mondorf-les-bains | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 24 |
| 4 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 22 |
| 5 | Atert Bissen | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 22 |
| 6 | UN Kaerjeng 97 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 21 |
| 7 | Progres Niederkorn | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 19 |
| 8 | Résidence Walferdange | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 16 |
| 9 | F91 Dudelange | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -1 | 13 |
| 10 | AS Jeunesse Esch | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Victoria Rosport | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 11 |
| 12 | US Hostert | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 11 |
| 13 | Etzella Ettelbruck | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 8 |
| 14 | US Rumelange | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -16 | 8 |
| 15 | Wiltz | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -13 | 5 |
| 16 | Swift Hesperange | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | -39 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Atert Bissen win, at 54.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 76% and over 2.5 goals at 80%.
A 55% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.