Celtic Park · Analysis updated 23:42 UTC
Celtic vs Lask Linz Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.80 expected goals for Celtic and 0.85 for Lask Linz, a combined total of 2.65. That distribution gives Celtic the largest share of the 1X2 market at 60%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 49% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 60% favourite still loses or draws roughly 40% of the time.
Model pick
Celtic to Win
59.9% probability
Expected goals
1.80 – 0.85
Model version
poisson-market-v1
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
83%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
40%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–012.7%
- 2–011.4%
- 1–110.8%
- 2–19.7%
- 0–07.1%
Why the model likes this
Celtic home form
11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Lask Linz away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Celtic to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 60%, against 60% / 23% / 17% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.80 goals for Celtic and 0.85 for Lask Linz, a combined 2.65 — an open game on paper.
Odds comparison
Indicative prices for the main markets.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Home | 1.57 | 10Bet |
| Match Result | Draw | 3.90 | 10Bet |
| Match Result | Away | 5.60 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 1.28 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | 3.55 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 1.90 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | 1.85 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 3.25 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | 1.33 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 1.05 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 0.5 | 9.50 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 6.25 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 4.5 | 1.11 | 10Bet |
| BTTS | Yes | 1.85 | 10Bet |
| BTTS | No | 1.80 | 10Bet |
| Double Chance | Home/Draw | 1.13 | 10Bet |
| Double Chance | Home/Away | 1.20 | 10Bet |
| Double Chance | Draw/Away | 2.30 | 10Bet |
Recent form
Celtic
- 2026-08-15T16:45:00.000Z · A vs Dundee Utd · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-08-09T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Kilmarnock · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-08-03T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Dundee · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-07-25T14:00:00.000Z · H vs AC Milan · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-07-18T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Middlesbrough · 1-1 (D)
Lask Linz
- 2026-08-14T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Ried · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-08-09T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Austria Vienna · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-07-31T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Grazer AK · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-07-25T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Kalsdorf · 7-0 (W)
- 2026-07-18T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Fortuna Düsseldorf · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.